Thursday, October 19, 2006


Fukuyama offers a thumbnail sketch of neoconservatism and its origins, back to the anti-Communist left at City College in the 1930's and 40's and to the conservative philosophers (Leo Strauss, Allan Bloom, Albert Wohlstetter) at the University of Chicago in later years. From these disparate origins, the neoconservatives eventually generated "a set of coherent principles," which, taken together, ended up defining their impulse in foreign affairs during the last quarter-century. They upheld a belief that democratic states are by nature friendly and unthreatening, and therefore America ought to go around the world promoting democracy and human rights wherever possible. They believed that American power can serve moral purposes. They doubted the usefulness of international law and institutions. And they were skeptical about what is called "social engineering" — about big government and its ability to generate positive social changes.

I think maybe it is because, when Fukuyama wrote "The End of History," he was a Hegelian, and he remains one even now. Hegel's doctrine is a philosophy of history in which every new phase of human development is thought to be more or less an improvement over whatever had come before. In "America at the Crossroads," Fukuyama describes the Hegelianism of "The End of History" as a version of "modernization" theory, bringing his optimistic vision of progress into the world of modern social science. But the problem with modernization theory was always a tendency to concentrate most of its attention on the steadily progressing phases of history, as determined by the predictable workings of sociology or economics or psychology — and to relegate the free play of unpredictable ideas and ideologies to the margins of world events.

Full text Neo No More - Paul Berman

After Neo-Conservatism - Francis Fukuyama

Wednesday, October 18, 2006

"Ten Commandments for Choosing a Spouse"

1. Remember that you are Mongol.
2. If of sound stock, do not remain unwed.
3. Keep your body pure.
4. Keep spirit and soul pure.
5. As a Mongol, choose only a spouse of the same blood.
6. When choosing your spouse, look into their lineage.
7. Health is precondition for physical beauty.
8. Marry only out of love.
9. Don't look for a playmate but for a companion for marriage.
10. Wish for as many children as possible.

Tuesday, October 17, 2006

A quote from "The Unbearable Lightness of Being"

Chief Surgeon: More than 100'00 people were imprisoned, tortured, executed in their regime.

Jiri: And now, these men cry out that they didn't know anything... that they were misled or manipulated. That they were innocent.

Tomasz: Not innocent, but, unaware, perhaps.

Jiri: Oh, please, they had to know what they were doing. Otherwise, it's unthinkable.

Tomasz: It doesn't matter whether they knew or not.

[People booeing for the Russian Song]

Tomasz: I've been thinking about Oedipus.

Sabina: Good King Oedipus. Is sleeping with your mother the same sort of crime?

Tomasz: When Oedipus realized that he had killed his father unknowingly killed his father and was sleeping with his mother and that because of his crimes plagues were ravaging his city, he couldn't bear the sight of what he'd done. He plucked out his own eyes and left. He did not feel innocent. He felt he had to punish himself. But our leaders, unlike Oedipus, they felt they were innocent. And when the atrocities of the Stalinist period became known, they cried, "We didn't know! We weren't aware of what was going on. Our conscience is clear." But the important difference is they stayed in power.

Sabina: And they should have plucked their eyes out.

Tomasz: All I'm saying is that morality has changed since Oedipus.

Sunday, October 08, 2006

WSJ's Nobel Predictions

The Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences will announce its choice on Monday for the Nobel Memorial Prize in economics. As the day approaches, some of the world's best minds are engaged in a highly inexact science: predicting the winner.

The outcome is far from trivial. Though the winning work of Nobel laureates tends to be decades old, the prize confers great benefits beyond the purse of about $1.4 million, including a renewed influence in the public realm, canonical status and coveted bragging rights for the universities whose halls the laureates haunt. To date, the University of Chicago leads with nine laureates. Harvard has four, and MIT three....

Academics see several areas and names as "ripe" for a Nobel. Among the favorites: Harvard's Oliver Hart, whose work in contracts has helped economists understand why companies merge and split apart; Robert Wilson and Paul Milgrom, both of Stanford University, whose work in auction theory inspired the design of radio-spectrum selloffs; Columbia's Jagdish Bhagwati, whose work demonstrated that trade barriers are among the worst ways to solve domestic economic problems; and Chicago's Eugene Fama, whose idea that stock-price moves can't be predicted spawned a whole industry of specialized index funds.

Thomson Scientific, which produces an annual list of front-runners based on how many peers cite an economist's work, forecasts three possible combinations: Mr. Bhagwati, together with Princeton trade specialists Avinash Dixit and Paul Krugman; Mr. Jorgenson alone; and Mr. Hart, together with Bengt Holmstrom of Harvard and Oliver Williamson of Berkeley. Betting pools at Harvard and MIT favor Cambridge, Mass., locals such as Mr. Hart, Mr. Holmstrom and Harvard macroeconomist Robert Barro.

Friday, October 06, 2006

Who will be the next Nobel Laureate?

Зиэ зиэ, жил жилийн намар сэтгэл догдлон хvлээж суудаг Нобелийн шагналтангууд эхнээсээ эхлээд тодорч эхлэв. Нийтдээ 6 тєрлийн шагнал байдгаас одоогийн байдлаар талынх нь эздийг зарлаад байгаа бєгєєд vлдсэнийг нь дараа долоо хоногт тодруулах юм байна (Уран Зохиолын салбар дахь шагналыг нь хэзээ тодруулахаа хараахан зарлаагvй байна). Эдгээрээс миний хувьд хамгийн сонирхол татсан нь Эдийн Засаг, Уран Зохиолын салбар дахь шагнал бєгєєд интернэтээр энэ талаар хартал хvмvvс чухам хэн авах бол гээд нэлээд догдолцгоож байх шиг байна.
Юутай ч Thomson Corporation-ий веб дээр байсан санал асуулга нэлээд сонирхол татав. Энд Medicine, Chemistry, Physics, Economics гэсэн 4 салбарт нэлээд єндєр шанстай байгаа эрдэмтэд дээр интернэт хэрэглэгчид санал хурааж байгаа юм байна. Сонирхолтой нь єдгєє нэгэнт зарлагдчихсан эхний 3 салбарын нэр дэвшигчид дотор жинхэнэ Нобел авсан хvн ганц ч алга. Нэгэнт нэр дэвшигчдийн талаарх мэдээлэл 50 жилийн дараа нийтэд ил болдог тул энэ талаар санаа зовох нь ч бараг илvvц мэт. Харин дараагийн Даваа гарагт зарлагдах Эдийн Засгийн шагналтан(гууд) чухам хэн байх бол?

Нэр дэвшигчид:

• Bhagwati, Dixit, Krugman
• Jorgenson
• Hart, Holmstrom, Williamson

Аль эсвэл єнєє эхний 3 салбар шигээ худлаа нэр дэвшигчид байж таараад шал єєр хvмvvс єрсєєд шагналыг нь хvртчихдэг юм болов уу?

P.S: NYTimes дээр Nobel Prize-ийн талаар сонирхолтой нийтлэл гарч.

Greg Mankiw’s Summer Reading List

Хэдий зун єнгєрсєн ч гэлээ Mankiw-ийн “summer reading list” нь нэлээд сонирхолтой санагдав. Хэдийгээр мань эр єєрийгєє New-Keynesian гэдэг боловч тэрхvv list дотор нь тvvнийг шvvмжилдэг Neo-Keynesian, бvр тэр байтугай monetarist эдийн засагчдийн бvтээлvvд хvртэл байна. Єєрєєр хэлбэл Mankiw хvмvvсийг эдийн засгийг олон талаас нь єргєн єнцгєєр хараасай гэж хvссэн бололтой.

Юутай ч тvvний suggestion-уудыг нь танилцуулбал:

• Milton Friedman, Capitalism and Freedom
• Robert Heilbroner, The Worldly Philosophers
• Paul Krugman, Peddling Prosperity
• Steven Landsburg, The Armchair Economist
• P.J. O'Rourke, Eat the Rich
• Burton Malkiel, A Random Walk Down Wall Street
• Avinash Dixit and Barry Nalebuff, Thinking Strategically
• Steven Levitt and Stephen Dubner, Freakonomics
• John McMillan, Reinventing the Bazaar
• William Breit and Barry T. Hirsch, Lives of the Laureates

Кэкэ, сонирхолтой нь би эд нараас ердєє хоёрыг нь хальт мулт уншсан байх юм. Тvvхийгээрээ байгаагийн нэг дохио юм болов уу даа

Greg Mankiw's blog

2003-2005 оны хооронд Бушийн “Council of Economic Advisors”-ийн Ерєнхийлєгч байсан Gregory Mankiw-ийг хvмvvс Principles of Economics хэмээх сурах бичгээр нь андахгvй байх. Ялангуяа тэрхvv номонд орсон эдийн засгийн vндсэн логик-ийг хураангуйлсан “эдийн засгийн 10 зарчим”-аараа Mankiw нэрд гарсан. Єдгєє тэрээр Харвардын профессор бєгєєд єнгєрсєн 3 сард єєрийнхєє блогийг нээжээ (миний блогийн баруун талд линк нь бий).


Mankiw-ийн блогт тvvний бичсэн нийтлэлvvд, сvvлийн vеийн мэдээний анализ байхаас гадна хамгийн чухал нь эдийн засагт эхлэн суралцагчдад зориулсан янз бvрийн зєвлєгєєнvvд бий. Сонирхсон хvмvvс нь тэгээд єглєє мэдээгээ уншингаа энэ блогоор нэг шагайчихаж байна биз ээ